I enjoy at least one glass of wine per day. I love wine and I like it in a dozen different formats, as I find that even the oddest of them represents a unique opportunity.
If you like wine as I do, you know that it can become expensive. So, most of the time I seek bargains. In deciding to investigate this topic, I discovered that the pricing of wine is unbelievably difficult.
Let's look at a few of the factors:
— Worldwide, beverage consumers have turned their backs on wine in the last three years. Since so little wine is selling, you would expect prices to be extremely soft.
— But in France and California, two of the world's most wine-prolific regions, harvest conditions in 2026 were so bad that both regions will produce tiny crops, less than in several decades. A light crop means less wine, so you would expect prices to rise.
These contradictory factors make wine pricing extremely difficult. Also, grape growers and winemakers face differing economic challenges, such as:
— Growers face increased fees for irrigation water, labor and fertilizers due partly to foreign wars, border issues and tariffs. So, growers must pay more to produce their small crops. Meaning grape prices must be rising and thus wine prices will rise, right?
— Wineries that produced decent-sized crops in prior vintages still have much of that wine to sell and most of it is deteriorating. They don't need as many grapes as they once did. So wine remaining from previous years must be cheaper, right?
And where is the consumer in all of this? With the economy fluctuating unpredictably, wine buyers must seek bargains, which falls back on the prices wineries pay for grapes. This dictates the price for a bottle of wine.
Using just the prices for sauvignon blanc in four Northern California regions in 2025, based on the state's Grape Crush Report of last March, the most expensive ton of SB grapes last year was from Napa Valley, $3,125.
Using the historic model that a bottle of wine should cost 1% of the cost of grapes, the average bottle of Napa Valley Sauvignon Blanc should be about $31.
However, most Americans are accustomed to buying SB for $17 to $20 a bottle, which equates to a sauvignon blanc from Sonoma County, where the average grape price was $1,871 in 2025.
However, slow sales of all wine in the last two years have softened prices, making sauvignon blanc from Mendocino County ($1,267) and Lake County ($1,183 per ton) likely opportunities for people seeking good value.
But you would be hard-pressed to find a bottle of Lake County SB for $12. Wineries are profit-making ventures. At $12, few wineries can survive.
The only good news is that local reports say that consumer sales of sauvignon blanc have increased in the last year by 1.5%, upping the demand for grapes. SB is one of the few grapes still selling consistently.
This means that the best values in SB today probably are those designated as 2025 from "California" fruit. And the improvement in winemaking technology means that such wines probably will be truly enjoyable.
Wine of the Week: 2025 Oyster Bay Sauvignon Blanc, Marlborough ($12) — One major reason California prices for sauvignon blanc have remained moderate is that competition from New Zealand has been one of the great success stories of imported wine in the last 20 years. This widely distributed wine is fresh, scented with lime and tropical fruit and is slightly sweet, which appeals to many consumers.
To find out more about Sonoma County resident Dan Berger (winenut@gmail.com) and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate webpage at www.creators.com.
Photo credit: Markus Winkler at Unsplash
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